Год выпуска: 0 Автор: Marcus Noland Издательство: Страниц: 0 ISBN: 088132373X
Описание
Vulnerable to external pressure and confronting internal demands for change, the future of the North Korean state remains very much a live issue. In June 2003 the ratings agency Standard and Poor?s issued a report highlighting the ineluctable prospect of a North Korean collapse and its perilous implications for South, identifying the prospectively economically devastating costs of unification? a la Germany? as a factor depressing South Korean sovereign bond ratings. The S&P scenariois as provocative as the title of this monograph. Today?s North Korean regime embodies elements of both communism and Confucian dynasty under its deified-yet-mortal leader, Kim Jong-il. Its anomalous internal characteristics and external relations create an unusually broad set of possible transition paths and successor regimes, ranging from effective maintenance to the status quo to evolutionary change to revolutionary upheaval, probably implying the collapse of North Korea as a...
