Год выпуска: 2008 Издательство: Страниц: 240 ISBN: 1844075672
Описание
The world is an increasingly turbulent and complex environment, awash with tipping points and knock-on effects ranging from the impact ofwarfare in the Middle East on energy futures, investment and global currencies to the vast and unpredictable impacts of climate change.This book is for business and organizational leaders who feel the ever increasing turbulence of the environment and are interested in thinkingthrough how to deal with related complexity and uncertainty. The authors explain in clear language how future orientation, and specifically modern scenario techniques, help to address increasing risk and lead to more confident and robust decisions. They draw on examples from a wide variety of settings and circumstances including the large corporations, inter-governmental organizations like the World Bank, small firms, municipalities and other communities. Readers will be inspired to try out scenario approaches themselves to address the turbulence that affects them and others...